When I checked the Braves record and realized that they were an insane 4-21 in games decided by one run, I was pretty shocked. But after the super-smart people at Baseball-Reference pointed me in the direction of just how historically bad it was, I was even more surprised. If you sort by one run games for every team since 1901, the Braves rank dead last (#2212) in terms of one run game winning percentage. Yes, over the past 108 years, there has not been a team with a worse relative record in one run games in baseball. Which is pretty astounding.
It's also oddly uplifting, if you're a Braves fan though. See, one run games are primarily luck. Certainly not all luck, but certain "breaks" in the game often dictate how a one run game will shape out, and a 4-21 record is not indicative of the overall talent on Atlanta this year.
Also, the poor record in one run games would seem to indicate a shift in luck for the Braves -- despite the "losing mentality" that you hear about, Atlanta should see a reversal of fortune in some of these close games during the second half of the season.
Given the state of the National League East where Philly is kind-of-sort-of surging, but no one is dominant, that could actually bear out pretty well for the ATL. The downside, of course, is that Braves players are dropping like flies to injury. Of course, not every baseball season is chock full of good luck. This might still be one of them that stays without.





Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
7-06-2008 @ 7:02PM
AR said...
lUCK HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH THE TEAM 4&21 IN ONE RUN GAME; IT`S THE TEAM THE BRAVES PUT TOGETHER THAT LOCKED CONSISTENTSY HITTING THE BALL THROUGH THE MIDDLE. IT`S A TEAM THAT IS NOT GETTING ANY PRODUCTION FROM ALL THE OUTFIELDERS COMBINED. INJURIES ASIDE THE TEAM DOES`T HIT MUCH... AND THAT IS BAD LUCK.
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