Ryan Dembinsky Posts

Five Underrated Fantasy Running Backs

One of the secrets to successfully navigating a fantasy football draft is sorting through the noise that comes out of the various media sources and uncovering the hidden values. Every season, fantasy football pundits will sway the general consensus in a particular direction, making forgone conclusions that cause a good percentage of players to rethink what they already know, thus causing some stalwart players to become significantly underrated. Over the next couple of weeks, Fantasy FanHouse will provide a rundown of our perceived five most underrated players at the key fantasy skill positions, starting today with the five most underrated running backs.

Marques Colston Undergoes Microfracture Surgery: Fantasy Spin

In what was originally thought to be a simple arthroscopic knee surgery, it turns out that during the offseason, Marques Colston underwent a more complicated knee procedure known as microfracture surgery. The news of the surgery comes as no surprise, given Colston missed six games in 2008 due to injuries (though mainly due to a torn ligament in his thumb). But the increased severity of a microfracture surgery -- as opposed to a simple scope -- calls into question whether Colston's fantasy value should take a dip in 2009.

Offseason Fantasy Value Conundrums

Sure, it may be a little early for most normal people to start thinking fantasy football draft, but for us derelict diehards, keeping abreast on the developments of the offseason can provide peace of mind and an advantage in watching things progress as we head into the summer. While the news coming out of the NFL these days is far overshadowed by two wildly entertaining playoff series, there are some pretty critical players to keep an eye on.

A small handful of elite fantasy stars are in the midst of a serious value conundrum. On one hand, they provide an opportunity to nab otherwise surefire first-rounders on the cheap, but not without taking on big-time risk. It is question of "how far do we let them drop before it is critical to pull the trigger?"

Lions Select Matt Stafford, Fantasy Owners Don't Care

With the first pick of the 2009 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions surprised nobody by inking a deal with the former Georgia Bulldog quarterback, Matthew Stafford. Long before the draft began at 4 pm this afternoon, Detroit and Stafford agreed on Friday night to a six-year deal worth $78 million with $41.7 million guaranteed.

While most young quarterbacks might be tempted to pull the Elway and start singing, "I gotta get out of this place, if it's the last thing I ever do," Stafford, on the contrary, seems genuinely excited to be a Lion and up to the challenge of turning this team around under his leadership. This, combined with a pretty savvy contract by the Lions that puts a lot of that $78 million in incentives based on playing time, looks like a recipe for success. So, the question remains, does Matt Stafford have fantasy value for the upcoming season in Detroit as a rookie?

Tony Gonzalez Deal Gives Values Boost

In maybe the biggest pre-draft shakeup thus far, the Atlanta Falcons nabbed ten time Pro-Bowl tight end, Tony Gonzalez on the cheap for a mere 2nd round draft pick in the 2010 draft (presumably a late round one at that, the way the Falcons are shaping up). Gonzo made it no secret in recent months that having pretty much solidified his claim as the best tight end of all time – at least for the next five years or so while that other fella from San Diego works through the second half of his career – that he wanted to play for a contender.

This trade should provide immediate fantasy implications, which bode well for just about everybody involved.

Fantasy Spin: Fred Taylor to Patriots

The Fred Taylor situation is already biting at me from both sides. The good side of the conscious is dressed in white, perched on the left shoulder, and saying, "Dude, it's freaking Fred Taylor. You know he will be hurt by week five and New England's running game will be stuck centering on shuffle passes to Kevin Faulk." On the flip side, the other half of the conscious is dressed in black leather with a pack of cigarettes rolled in his sleeve, sitting on his Harley, saying "Jump on it, man. This is the next genius move by New England. He is going to dominate just like Corey Dillon did when he came into to town and scored 39 touchdowns in three seasons. It's a system that has been missing the key guy, and Taylor is that guy."

In other words, this is a tough call that could really go either way. One thing we know for sure is that this has wide reaching fantasy impact, so let's take a look at the winners and losers in the wake of this bold signing.

Adding Coaches to Fantasy Football Rosters, Crazy?

Things that make you go "hmmmm." I've been tossing this idea around ever since watching the Super Bowl and considering what a great job both Ken Whisenhunt and Mike Tomlin have done with their short tenures in Arizona and Pittsburgh, respectively; would it make sense to add coaches to the fantasy football roster?

Before you start thinking of all the reasons that this does not make sense, hear me out, because there certainly exist a lot of those -- the most obvious being that it's pretty impossible to measure a coach's individual contribution. That said, a lot of coaches have discernible habits and bad lineups that can, in theory, lead to some level of predictability in their outcomes. Thus, the more I think about this, I'd like to see coaches in the fantasy lineup. They have to be at least as predictable as the kicker, which has to be the silliest element in fantasy sports, that we try to predict outcomes from on a weekly basis.

So, enough prepping, let's look at some of the stats that I think could be included in the coaches' fantasy stats and you tell me if it makes sense. I'm already sold ...

Fantasy Football Decision Time: Up for Grabs, Down for Keeps

I must admit, I am not entirely certain that "Up for Grabs, Down for Keeps" is a universal reference. It refers to the hot open-market exchange that is the elementary school lunch table. "Up for grabs" means that the Fruit by the Foot is in play if you can come up with a fat sack of Nutter Butters, or perhaps a goat cheese sandwich if you're from Scarsdale. "Down for keeps" means you changed your mind or pulled the fake-out move and decided to hang onto it for personal consumption.

Anyway, today's segment deals with the decision of determining who should be stashed away "down for keeps" versus who is better off being placed back on the market "up for grabs" in those keeper leagues as we head into the off-season.

Offensive Line Breakdowns: The Rewind

You might recall that during the preseason, I concocted a relatively thorough analysis of the offensive line of all 32 teams. The crux of the project -- and what I thought would crack the secret to fantasy success wide open -- was that by determining where the talented offensive lines resided, the picks for skill positions would be made much more intelligently. Well, today we finally get to test that thesis and put the rubber to the road. If you recall, the the offensive lines for each of the league's 32 teams were broken down into five tiers with regard to quality: the creme de la creme, the highly competent, the serviceable, the grim, and the bunk.

The Creme de la Creme

Teams: the Dallas Cowboys, the Cleveland Browns, the Minnesota Vikings, the New England Patriots, and the New York Giants

The Skinny: The glaring error here was calling the Browns offensive line the best in the game and hyping Jamal Lewis for a big season. Still, our creme de la creme group performed quite well averaging 34 sacks on the season and 4.4 yards per carry. The Giants also led the league in yards per carry. The creme de la creme group was definitely solid, but this clearly did not make anyone's season by focusing their drafts here.

Interview with Shane Schroeder, the World's First Fantasy Football Millionaire

Forget winning the lottery; Shane Schroeder just set the new standard for the American Dream -- well, at least for any warm-blooded male in the coveted 18-45 demographic. This past weekend, Shane became the first ever fantasy football millionaire by winning the Fantasy Football Open Championship at the famed Bellagio Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas. He bested the fifteen remaining finalists of literally thousands of entrants, earning a cool million dollars and the title of the world's best fantasy player. Not a bad way to celebrate the holidays. Amidst the whirlwind of publicity, Shane was kind enough to answer a few questions from Fantasy FanHouse. Move over Trey Anastasio, I think I have a new idol.

Ryan Dembinsky: Who would you say was your team's MVP this season, the guy who delivered every time you needed him?

Shane Schroeder: I have to say DeAngelo Williams. His epic performance during the Sunday night game is what put me in a position to win it all and he was really great down the stretch. Besides, you can't really argue with more than 1,300 yards and 18 TDs.

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