I'll admit that it's a little early for team previews in the first week of October, but ESPN's John Hollinger simply has to be called out for some of his predictions. Yes, the Clippers have some issues, but I think that predicting a 20-win season for them is flat out insulting.
Hollinger points out that, even without the injury to Elton Brand, the team would begin to feel the effects of its recent draft failures. Here are his core reasons (based on the team's lottery pick history) that the Clips will absolutely suck this season:
• Korolev is out of the league.
• Livingston is out for the season and perhaps longer.
• Melvin Ely was abandoned on the Bobcats' front porch three years ago.
• Chris Wilcox was traded for Vladimir Radmanovic and then converted, essentially, into Tim Thomas.
• And Thornton could be a contributor, but his age sends my bust-detector into overdrive. Besides, with that run of recent picks, why should we bet on this one working out?
Alright, let's bust these myths one by one, shall we? Korolev was simply a bad pick, and has had so little playing time since he was drafted that it doesn't even matter at this point if he can contribute. Livingston had that brutal knee injury last season, but honestly he was slow to develop, and Dunleavy forced him into games last season that they could have won had they gone with Sam Cassell instead. Melvin Ely? He was pretty solid, I wish the Clips had kept him. And Hollinger's point on Chris Wilcox is 100% true, so I don't have an argument there.
But still, 20 wins? That's just ridiculous. I guarantee at least 35 wins for this Clippers team, with an outside shot of grabbing the 7 or 8 seed in the West if Ruben Patterson and Al Thornton can produce at all. Sure, 35 wins would still leave the Clippers out of the playoffs. But this franchise has had a long history of being disrespected, and the difference between 20 and 35 wins, at least to their fans, is more than substantial.